Show simple item record

dc.contributor.authorFernandes, JA
dc.contributor.authorPapathanasopoulou, E
dc.contributor.authorHattam, C
dc.contributor.authorQueirós, AM
dc.contributor.authorCheung, WWWL
dc.contributor.authorYool, A
dc.contributor.authorArtioli, Y
dc.contributor.authorPope, EC
dc.contributor.authorFlynn, KJ
dc.contributor.authorMerino, G
dc.contributor.authorCalosi, P
dc.contributor.authorBeaumont, N
dc.contributor.authorAusten, MC
dc.contributor.authorWiddicombe, S
dc.contributor.authorBarange, M
dc.date.accessioned2024-04-24T11:23:59Z
dc.date.available2024-04-24T11:23:59Z
dc.date.issued2017-05
dc.identifier.issn1467-2960
dc.identifier.issn1467-2979
dc.identifier.urihttps://pearl.plymouth.ac.uk/handle/10026.1/22305
dc.description.abstract

Assessments of the combined ecological impacts of ocean acidification and warming (OAW) and their social and economic consequences can help develop adaptive and responsive management strategies in the most sensitive regions. Here, available observational and experimental data, theoretical, and modelling approaches are combined to project and quantify potential effects of OAW on the future fisheries catches and resulting revenues and employment in the UK under different CO2 emission scenarios. Across all scenarios, based on the limited available experimental results considered, the bivalve species investigated were more affected by OAW than the fish species considered, compared with ocean warming alone. Projected standing stock biomasses decrease between 10 and 60%. These impacts translate into an overall fish and shellfish catch decrease of between 10 and 30% by 2020 across all areas except for the Scotland >10 m fleet. This latter fleet shows average positive impacts until 2050, declining afterwards. The main driver of the projected decreases is temperature rise (0.5–3.3 °C), which exacerbate the impact of decreases in primary production (10–30%) in UK fishing waters. The inclusion of the effect of ocean acidification on the carbon uptake of primary producers had very little impact on the projections of potential fish and shellfish catches (<1%). The <10 m fleet is likely to be the most impacted by-catch decreases in the short term (2020–50), whereas the effects will be experienced more strongly by the >10 m fleet by the end of the century in all countries. Overall, losses in revenue are estimated to range between 1 and 21% in the short term (2020–50) with England and Scotland being the most negatively impacted in absolute terms, and Wales and North Ireland in relative terms. Losses in total employment (fisheries and associated industries) may reach approximately 3–20% during 2020–50 with the >10 m fleet and associated industries bearing the majority of the losses.

dc.format.extent389-411
dc.languageen
dc.publisherWiley
dc.subjectEconomic impact
dc.subjectemployment
dc.subjectfisheries
dc.subjectocean acidification and warming
dc.subjectrevenue
dc.subjectsocial impact
dc.titleEstimating the ecological, economic and social impacts of ocean acidification and warming on UK fisheries
dc.typejournal-article
dc.typeReview
plymouth.issue3
plymouth.volume18
plymouth.publisher-urlhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1111/faf.12183
plymouth.publication-statusPublished
plymouth.journalFish and Fisheries
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/faf.12183
plymouth.organisational-group|Plymouth
plymouth.organisational-group|Plymouth|Faculty of Science and Engineering
plymouth.organisational-group|Plymouth|Faculty of Science and Engineering|School of Biological and Marine Sciences
plymouth.organisational-group|Plymouth|REF 2021 Researchers by UoA
plymouth.organisational-group|Plymouth|Users by role
plymouth.organisational-group|Plymouth|Users by role|Current Academic staff
plymouth.organisational-group|Plymouth|REF 2021 Researchers by UoA|UoA14 Geography and Environmental Studies
plymouth.organisational-group|Plymouth|REF 2021 Researchers by UoA|UoA14 Geography and Environmental Studies|UoA14 Geography and Environmental Studies MANUAL
plymouth.organisational-group|Plymouth|Users by role|Researchers in ResearchFish submission
plymouth.organisational-group|Plymouth|REF 2029 Researchers by UoA
plymouth.organisational-group|Plymouth|REF 2029 Researchers by UoA|UoA14 Geography and Environmental Studies
plymouth.organisational-group|Plymouth|Users by role|Former Academic staff
dcterms.dateAccepted2016-08-11
dc.date.updated2024-04-24T11:23:58Z
dc.rights.embargodate2024-4-26
dc.identifier.eissn1467-2979
rioxxterms.versionofrecord10.1111/faf.12183


Files in this item

Thumbnail
Thumbnail

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record


All items in PEARL are protected by copyright law.
Author manuscripts deposited to comply with open access mandates are made available in accordance with publisher policies. Please cite only the published version using the details provided on the item record or document. In the absence of an open licence (e.g. Creative Commons), permissions for further reuse of content should be sought from the publisher or author.
Theme by 
Atmire NV